A word on the largest polluters...
- 32companies supplied the fossil fuels and cement behind half of the world's CO2 in 2024
- 17 of 20of the biggest producers are owned or controlled by governments, not shareholders
A 2021 study by Supran and Naomi Oreskes went through about 180 ExxonMobil communications from 1977 to 2014. It found the company repeatedly pointing attention at how consumers use energy, which draws it away from the company's own role in extracting and selling fossil fuels.
The system we live in was built for growth, not balance, which is why individual action alone cannot fix it. The fix sits in industries and infrastructure.
What role does Australia play?
The standard line is that Australia is about 1% of global emissions, so what we do hardly matters. Every country has a version of that line, and the sum of all of them is the 57.7 billion tonnes a year. We are a middle power: too small to fix this alone, big enough that what we sell, enact and say can have influence. Doubt it? Our communications minister, Anika Wells, was just named to the TIME100 Next list of rising stars for the under-16 social media ban.
- 3xthe world average for emissions per person: 14.1 tonnes of CO2 for an average Australian, against 4.7 for the average human
- 3rdlargest fossil fuel exporter on Earth. Burning our exports puts out about 1.15 billion tonnes of CO2 a year*, three times our own square
- 43%of the world's lithium is mined in Australia, and so is 38% of its iron ore. Lithium goes into batteries and iron ore into steel, so what we dig up helps decide how fast the world can build clean energy
Australia has a lot to lose, too. A review of 131 studies in Science put Australia and New Zealand among the highest-risk regions for climate-driven extinction, with 14% of species predicted to be lost.*
What is at stake: 1.5 versus 2 degrees
- 2.8°*projected warming by 2100 on the policies countries have in place today, per UNEP. The Paris goal was 1.5
- Longer fire seasonsSince the 1950s, extreme fire weather has increased and the fire season has grown longer across large parts of Australia. More is projected for southern and eastern Australia
- 70 to 90%*further decline in coral reefs at 1.5 degrees, versus over 99% at 2
- 1 vs 10*ice-free Arctic summers: about one a century at 1.5 degrees, at least one a decade at 2
- 10 cm*less sea level rise by 2100 at 1.5 than at 2 degrees. It sounds small, but higher seas make every storm surge and king tide reach further inland. At 1.5°C, up to 10 million fewer people would be exposed
- 3x*as many insect species lose over half of their habitat at 2 degrees as at 1.5 (18% against 6%). For plants and vertebrates the share doubles too. Insects pollinate our crops and feed the birds, frogs and fish above them, so when they go, the losses travel up the food chain
These are model ranges with stated confidence. Both ends of every range are worse than today. For a clear look at what climate scientists can and cannot say about the future, and why there is always a degree of uncertainty, watch Neil Halloran's How Sure Are Climate Scientists, Really?
Some quick stats...
Unfortunately, since 2021, climate has been slipping out of the news cycle and down people's priority lists. Scroll.